CES and MacWorld: Hits and Misses

January 17th, 2006 | by Rob Enderle

CES is a wonderful place for someone like me, who loves gadgets.  Miles of expensive toys and electronics that do amazing things I probably don't need (but often want) to do.  It's good that most of these things won't be on store shelves immediately, so that the lust in my heart can die down before it does serious damage to my wallet.  But with all of the excitement about CES, I was secretly looking forward to Apple's announcements at MacWorld; I have to admit, I was deeply disappointed. 

 

MacWorld:  Disappointing, but More to Come

 

The iMac and Titanium notebook designs were, in my eyes, dated.  Granted, in many ways they are still very clean designs and stand out against their competitors, but the current iMac isn't as innovative as the last one (and others did similar things last decade) and the Titanium hasn't changed that much since it was released a long time ago.  While I was very sure, given the timing of Intel's new part, that Apple was going to release their first Intel-based products, knowing Apple, I also believed they would use this opportunity to refresh these designs.  Unfortunately, they didn't; I can't help but feel disappointed.

 

However, I don't expect to remain disappointed for long.  Apple is largely a second half company and I believe these first two systems are more "test of concept" than final designs for the new platform.  Initial volumes for any new processor are low; it will take a while for Intel to ramp to enough volume to meet the needs of all its customers (unlike IBM, Apple doesn't have a high priority with Intel, based on their relatively modest volumes).

 

In addition, the core third party applications are still not ported over to the new platform and, when running in emulation, are probably underperforming their native counterparts on the old hardware.  That, coupled with what will likely be a number of bugs and problems with both software and hardware in the initial systems, would suggest it's best to keep the initial runs small and to treat the first product release as more of a Beta test. 

 

The initial products from other vendors using this new Intel part are running very hot on AC power; this suggests that designs not specifically targeted at safely dumping this heat will be relatively unreliable.  Large desktops, particularly BTX systems, shouldn't be a problem, but laptops could have some nasty issues and it typically is best to let someone else have those experiences.

 

For buyers, this would suggest waiting until after mid-year to purchase the new platform (which, if you recall, was the date that Steve Jobs originally set).  This should result in not only a better experience but hardware from Apple that may go farther in setting the pace in hardware design than ever before. 

 

One thought:  These things could become collectors' items, as the initial runs could be relatively small for an Apple product.  However, MacWorld was no match for CES this round; next round, I'm not so sure. 

 

CES:  The Mother of All Consumer Electronics Shows

 

Unless you've been there, you have no concept of how big this thing is.  Over 150 thousand people take over Las Vegas for nearly a week.  It happens at the same time the adult entertainment awards are held, which adds to a certain unique excitement.  In one instance, two unnaturally very well-endowed women were seen coming out of a hotel wearing nothing but wide mesh fishnet.  When another woman asked if they were in the industry, upon hearing them reply, "Yes," I knew they didn't mean my industry.

 

Microsoft, Sony, Intel, Yahoo and Google, Oh, My!

 

One clear thing that came though all three keynotes at CES was that the future was all about content or meeting your favorite actor.  In fact, I'm convinced that many of these execs thought it was more about the latter than the former, given the number of actors who appeared on stage, clearly unaware as to why they were there.  I'm sure some folks got some nice brownie points, but I'm not sure anything meaningful was accomplished.

 

In Microsoft's defense, it was MTV who picked Justin Timberlake; you would think someone like Bill Gates would get a vote and would know enough to vote "Hell, no."  The obvious comparisons between Apple, who got it with U2, and Microsoft, who didn't with Timberlake, were popular with the press corps.  That being said, Vista looked really good; while Gates did his typical forward-looking piece, many didn't realize that most of what he showcased was not years off but would work with their new OS—something that may give Steve Jobs some valid concerns this time.

 

Sony obviously felt they had been unfairly blamed for the Sony BMG rootkit attack on its own customers.  I don't agree with that, and think it clearly shows very poor judgment by corporate executives.  That being said, they showcased what could be a breakthrough product in their eBook, the first that could be as popular as an iPod.  They also talked about making things easier to use, but this is Sony; i.e., it's like Sun's CEO talking about working with Microsoft.  I'm not going to hold my breath, but if Sony could execute, they are one of the few companies that could give Apple a run for its money.

 

For Intel, there was a lot of Viiv; however, on the show floor few seemed to understand what Viiv was; one of the hardware OEMs joked that the only thing you could demonstrate was that a Viiv platform would continue to stream music after someone hit the Off switch.  I spent some time talking to a number of OEMs and virtually all I met with indicated they were going to increase their AMD commitments, which suggests a tough year ahead for Intel.  Good thing they are making nice with Apple. 

 

Google and Yahoo were all about content; Google used Robin Williams to great effect.  In fact, of all of the companies Google made the best use of their celebrity.  However, while their talk was all about interoperability, their service only works with their own client.  It just goes to show that often vendors can talk the talk, but when it comes to walking the walk, they typically choose to sit down.

 

Interestingly, the services that were announced during these keynotes, whether music or movies, all made a point of pointing out they wouldn't work on Apple products.  Apple appears to be the new target of the rest of the Consumer Electronics market, including a number of the media companies.

 

Looking for "Pimped" Cars

 

At CES, the wildest stuff is in the automotive section.  If you have ever seen the MTV show Pimp My Ride, compared to the stuff at CES, it might as well be renamed Prepping Grandma's Car for Church.

 

There are 4WD trucks raised up to massive levels with Plasma and LCD screens mounted in the wheel wells.  There are SUVs with so much gear and mods that they have less room than a small sports car for people and luggage (in fact, in some there isn't any room for the engine anymore). 

 

These are all to showcase automotive audio and video gear and the paint jobs, mods, and sounds cross well into amazing.  There were several booths that were showcasing sub-woofers that appeared to be larger and heavier than a typical 4-cylinder engine and probably should be classified as deadly weapons. 

 

The best system that was reasonably affordable was a new one that will be out later this year from Pioneer; it had a built-in hard drive for entertainment and GPS maps (both updated by CDs or DVDs) and a touch screen and voice command, and could automatically navigate around traffic jams using XM radio traffic reports. 

 

Page 1 of 2

Post Your Comment...Comments

Dave on Jan 23rd, 2006 at 9:24 AM:

Rob: We got Intel-based Macs six months ahead of schedule! What's not to love about that? Steve could have come out on stage and said," Free iPods for everyone named Paul" and still people would complain.

I don't blame you for your reaction, I blame the rumor sites. They hype and hype non-existent products that sound great, and we're all let down when the inevitable happens: These fictitious products aren't announced. It's annoying.

M. T. MacPhee on Jan 23rd, 2006 at 9:54 AM:

Walt Mossberg, the highly regarded technical reviewer for the highly regarded New York Journal says:

"Apple's iMac, with its new Intel processor, is still the gold standard of consumer desktop PCs. And it stands to get better over time."

Enderle, the MS shill, says: "Blah, blah, blah."

How can the "Gold Standard" be "dated"? How can it "lack innovation" (no one has even managed to copy it yet)?

Oh. And Rob. Titanium? TITANIUM? Apple has not used titanium as the case material for years and years. Don't you think an analyst - you - should get at least the basic facts correct?

thomcarl on Jan 23rd, 2006 at 10:45 AM:

So your disappointed, Rob nobody cares. You really are on the thick side.

Hugh on Jan 23rd, 2006 at 1:28 PM:

You Mac Zealots need to get a freaking life, he just voiced his own views, hell he even compliments Apple:

"However, I don't expect to remain disappointed for long. Apple is largely a second half company and I believe these first two systems are more "test of concept" than final designs for the new platform. Initial volumes for any new processor are low; it will take a while for Intel to ramp to enough volume to meet the needs of all its customers (unlike IBM, Apple doesn't have a high priority with Intel, based on their relatively modest volumes). "

Leave the guy alone. And Mossberg is obviously drinking the Apple Koolaid, it makes me wonder if he isn't being paid off...

I thought Robs MacWorld assessment was right on. So Intel will be in the new Macs, big freaking deal, we already knew about that. Mac World didn't show us anything new, same old announcements. Besides, I heard that the FSB on the new Intel chip was being throttled down on some of the Apple systems so it would not compete with their own desktops. Talk about lame!

Bill on Jan 23rd, 2006 at 1:36 PM:

To M. T. MacPhee:

You sound very ignorant, since when is Mossberg the "authority" on PC's? The guy is like 80 years old and probably likes Apple products because they come with a whole two buttons on them; they are easy to use.

And in regards to the Titanium reference, gimme a break he was not being literal, you do not need to take things out of context to make a point, it just makes you look more like a zealot.

And to everyone reading this: I love Apple products, but you guys give a lot of us a bad rep when you bash anyone who whispers a negative comment about Apple. Apple is a far-from-perfect company....remember they screwed us over on the nano with its scratches, they sued Apple fan sites and they refused to replace the crappy batteries in our iPods...

Feep on Jan 23rd, 2006 at 2:00 PM:

Rob,

How much are you getting paid to diss Apple all of the time? You don't know squat about Macs, which is obvious from your constant snafus in your articles (e.g. Titanium has not been used in PowerBooks for a while - it's aluminum!). Further, anyone who talks about "Mac Zealots" are missing the point. The point is that every article written by Enderle has an underlying slant toward Microsoft. And most of his articles bash the Mac in some way or another.

BTW, I develop software on SQL server on Windows. I know the strengths and limits of both operating systems. If Enderle truly was a technology aficionado, he'd appreciate both platforms. Obviously he is not.

Kesh on Jan 23rd, 2006 at 6:08 PM:

Rob Enderle, u make me laugh old man. You're full of ****, i forget u're an Microsoft Expert ain't u ? Leave the Mac to mac users and take care of your own ****.

Tantrum on Jan 23rd, 2006 at 8:38 PM:

hahaha gotta love Mac zealots! blinded by idiocy! haha

J.B. Zimmerman on Jan 24th, 2006 at 8:08 AM:

Mr. Enderle:
I think you're missing the design statement here. The entire point of these introductions was that, in fact, there was no change. That was in itself a technology statement cloaked in a design decision. In other words, Steve Jobs and Apple just told their consumer base "Don't worry. It's a Mac. It's just like the Mac you had yesterday. Only faster." Sure, they could have come out with something New and Kool(aid)...but there are great reasons not to (yet). When you're working 6 months ahead of the announced schedule, perhaps the engineering challenges of redesigning both the board-level/internal components *and* a full external refresh are too much to risk. Also, your company is about to embark on a highly publicized, highly visible platform change. The message here was stability, consistency and continuity. They *wanted* the reviewers to say "Yup, it's a Mac. Looks like one, acts like one, no big difference."

And you did.

Jim Hall on Jan 24th, 2006 at 9:21 AM:

J.B. Zimmerman,

I think you are missing Robs point. Last time I checked it was ok to say that you were "dissapointed" in MacWorld without being attacked my Apple fanboys. If I had paid to attend MacWorld, I would have been bummed too. No new announcements or products at all. What a waste of a show to be honest. Sorry but I think you are going a little overboard.

Jobs statement to me was "we already announced that we are using Intel products, now I am just confirming it" nothing we havent heard before.

Ian Bell on Jan 28th, 2006 at 10:13 AM:

Here is a good article comparing Jobs to Gates: http://www.wired.com/news/columns/0,70072-0.html?t...

Comment on this article




Please keep your comments relevant to this article. Email addresses are not displayed, they are only required to verify you are human.

When you submit your comment, an email will be sent to your email address with a confirmation link. Once you have clicked on that confirmation link your comment will be posted.

HTML is not allowed.




Join our newsletter to keep up to date on the latest Digital Trends content like Videos, Reviews, News and more delivered directly to your email!


Plus, get early access to contests and specials from our partners. Join today!





Loading...